They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." MANAGER'S SALARY. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Preview of Spotify. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Join. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. . Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. Happy holidays! With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. This is the second episode. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). 3 min read. [00:00:19] House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. In the main event, former light With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. This is the first episode. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". . He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be.
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